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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 1
Leek Town

Morgan-Smith (77', 90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanders (41')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Leek Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Leek Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Leek Town 2-0 Ashby Ivanhoe
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Leek Town had a probability of 7.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (11.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Leek Town win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawLeek Town
77.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 7.43% (-0.0019 -0)
Both teams to score 39.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)43.77% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Leek Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.15%55.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.62%88.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 77.07%
    Leek Town 7.43%
    Draw 15.5%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawLeek Town
2-0 @ 14.69%
1-0 @ 12.49%
3-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.86%
6-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 77.07%
1-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.5%
0-1 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 2.12%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 7.43%

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