National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfields
Needham Market0 - 2Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Needham Market and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Radcliffe 1-1 Needham Market
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Chester
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Needham Market | Draw | Alfreton Town |
33.28% ( -0.14) | 26.22% ( -0.02) | 40.49% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.48% ( 0.07) | 51.52% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.68% ( 0.06) | 73.32% ( -0.06) |
Needham Market Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% ( -0.05) | 29.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% ( -0.07) | 65.2% ( 0.06) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.12) | 25.07% ( -0.12) |