Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Harrow Borough had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Harrow Borough win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.