Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Steyning Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Steyning Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Merstham in this match.