MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 21:12:18| >> :120:42327:42327:
Stockport County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Swindon Town

Stockport
4 - 0
Swindon

Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Brown (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Khan (1'), Hutton (29'), Reed (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Swindon Town

Both sides are in great form so we are expecting a tightly-contested affair at Edgeley Park. Stockport have been impressive defensively in recent weeks, and we think that could be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
48.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.03%
    Swindon Town 27.46%
    Draw 24.51%
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Stockport vs Swindon

Stockport County
Draw
Swindon Town
Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Gleeson (32')
Gleeson (27')
Easton (49')
Aljofree (24'), Amankwaah (39'), Smith (58')
rhs 2.0
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