Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Amersham Town had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an Amersham Town win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Taunton Town in this match.