York City2 - 1Chester
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League
for
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
We said: York City 2-1 Chester FC
This is a really difficult match to call, as Chester demonstrated in their clash earlier this month that they can compete with York. The home side can call upon the greater quality, though, and we are expecting the National League side to shade a close match on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for York City.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Chester FC |
38.79% ( -1.12) | 25.71% ( -0.15) | 35.5% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.05% ( 0.82) | 48.95% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( 0.74) | 71.03% ( -0.75) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.22) | 24.8% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.31) | 59.38% ( 0.3) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 1.16) | 26.64% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.12% ( 1.51) | 61.87% ( -1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.5% |
