MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 22:43:09| >> :60:25:25:
Ajax
Club Friendlies
Jul 19, 2024 at 2pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Olympiacos

Ajax
1 - 0
Olympiacos

Borges (43')
Akpom (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Ajax and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Al-Wasl
Thursday, July 18 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 2-1 Olympiacos

Ajax are coming to the end of their preparations for the new season, while Olympiacos are just beginning, so there should be a big difference in the fitness levels of the players. We are expecting a competitive match, but Ajax should be able to navigate their way to another pre-season win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawOlympiacos
48.38% (0.622 0.62) 22.22% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.4% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 65.17% (-0.43899999999999 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.401 -0.4)34.82% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.45 -0.45)56.79% (0.448 0.45)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (0.064000000000007 0.06)14.85% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (0.123 0.12)43.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)23.47% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-0.841 -0.84)57.49% (0.841 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 48.38%
    Olympiacos 29.4%
    Draw 22.22%
AjaxDrawOlympiacos
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.4%

How you voted: Ajax vs Olympiacos

Ajax
52.4%
Draw
33.3%
Olympiacos
14.3%
21
rhs 2.0
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