We said: Ajax 2-1 Olympiacos
Ajax are coming to the end of their preparations for the new season, while Olympiacos are just beginning, so there should be a big difference in the fitness levels of the players. We are expecting a competitive match, but Ajax should be able to navigate their way to another pre-season win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.