MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 14:42:14| >> :600:361333:361333:
Olympiacos
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Aston Villa logo

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
61.41% (0.256 0.26) 20.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 18.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.172 0.17)38.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)35.11% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-0.184 -0.18)71.86% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.41%
    Aston Villa 18.12%
    Draw 20.46%
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa

Olympiacos
40.3%
Draw
13.8%
Aston Villa
45.9%
283
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Aston Villa
2-4
Olympiacos
Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56'), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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