MX23RW : Monday, January 20 11:59:08| >> :600:1349161:1349161:
Olympiacos
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Aston Villa logo

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
61.41% (0.256 0.26) 20.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 18.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)39.26% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.172 0.17)38.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)35.11% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (-0.184 -0.18)71.86% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 61.41%
    Aston Villa 18.12%
    Draw 20.46%
OlympiacosDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Aston Villa

Olympiacos
40.3%
Draw
13.8%
Aston Villa
45.9%
283
Head to Head
May 2, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Aston Villa
2-4
Olympiacos
Watkins (45+1'), Diaby (52')
Diaby (83')
El Kaabi (16', 29', 56'), Hezze (67')
Fortounis (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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