MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:09:47| >> :60:1875:1875:
Dortmund logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 6, 2023 at 4pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Ajax

Dortmund
3 - 1
Ajax

Brandt (6'), Nmecha (54', 60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brobbey (7')
Kudus (38'), van den Boomen (79'), Brobbey (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Borussia Dortmund and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Dortmund
Thursday, August 3 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 Ajax
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Ajax

 Despite an unenviable list of injuries, Dortmund have been firing on all cylinders in pre-season and should have little trouble asserting their dominance on home soil this weekend. While Ajax also have their own fitness and international-related concerns bedevilling them, Steijn has plenty of issues to solve on the field as well, and Sunday's game could prove to be a humbling afternoon for the Amsterdam outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAjax
47.33% (0.037000000000006 0.04) 20.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 72.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)46.55% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)12.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.48% (0.029999999999994 0.03)37.52% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)48.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 47.33%
    Ajax 31.87%
    Draw 20.8%
Borussia DortmundDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.9%
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.8%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Ajax

Borussia Dortmund
100%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-3
Ajax
Reus (37' pen.)
Knauff (79')
Hummels (29')
Tadic (72'), Haller (83'), Klaassen (90+3')
Alvarez (39')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Ajax
4-0
Dortmund
Reus (11' og.), Blind (25'), Antony (57'), Haller (72')
Alvarez (33'), Maduro (90+2')

Witsel (42')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
-
Ajax
1-4
Dortmund
Hoesen
Reus, Gotze, Lewandowski
> Match Report
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
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Dortmund
1-0
Ajax
> Match Report
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