Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.