Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.