Bologna

5 - 0

Caldiero Terme

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 74.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Caldiero Terme had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Caldiero Terme win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.