Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
45.15% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( 0.03) | 29.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( -0.11) | 51.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( -0.09) | 73.1% ( 0.1) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0.06) | 22.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( -0.1) | 56.3% ( 0.1) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.05) | 32.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.05) | 68.5% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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