MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:23:50| >> :60:31:31:
Bolton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Stoke logo

Bolton
0 - 1
Stoke


Sheehan (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manhoef (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Bolton Wanderers and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Fiorentina
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Stoke City

With little at stake for both teams, we are anticipating an open and end-to-end clash in this one. We can also see Stoke City just about doing enough to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawStoke City
33.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 41.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)45.83% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.09 -0.09)68.15% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)26.48% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)61.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)21.91% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)55.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 33.28%
    Stoke City 41.81%
    Draw 24.91%
Bolton WanderersDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.28%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 41.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Stoke

Bolton Wanderers
23.5%
Draw
17.6%
Stoke City
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bolton
0-0
Stoke
Donaldson (60'), Vela (69')
Martins Indi (37'), Allen (65'), Edwards (82')
Oct 2, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 11
Stoke
2-0
Bolton
Martins Indi (10'), Ince (74')
Martina (71')

Grounds (38'), Noone (60')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bolton
1-2
Stoke
Le Fondre (44')
Joselu (78', 88')
May 13, 2012 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Bolton
Walters (13', 77' pen.)
Huth (85')
Davies (39'), Davies (45')
Ricketts (38')
Nov 6, 2011 3pm
Bolton
5-0
Stoke
Eagles (23', 73'), Davies (2'), Klasnic (61', 81')

Walters (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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