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League One
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League One | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
2 - 3
Barnsley

Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 1-3 Bolton
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Barnsley

 Barnsley will have to take risks to have any hope of mounting a comeback, but we think that could play into Bolton's hands, which is why we believe that the hosts will add to their two-goal cushion and book their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
54.53% (-1.36 -1.36) 21.46% (0.393 0.39) 24% (0.969 0.97)
Both teams to score 62.7% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.15% (-0.779 -0.78)35.85% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-0.864 -0.86)57.93% (0.865 0.87)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.663 -0.66)13.24% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-1.356 -1.36)40% (1.358 1.36)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (0.33800000000001 0.34)27.73% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (0.433 0.43)63.3% (-0.433 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.53%
    Barnsley 24%
    Draw 21.46%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.199 0.2)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.224 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 24%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
81.6%
Draw
14.0%
Barnsley
4.4%
114
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 8pm
Barnsley
1-0
Bolton
Kitching (24')
Cole (57')

Dempsey (42'), Santos (81')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Charles (67')
Cadden (63')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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