MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 10:28:35| >> :60:203:203:
Bordeaux
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 10am UK
Nou Estadi Municipal de Les Grases
Southampton logo

Bordeaux
2 - 3
Southampton

Diallo (20'), Marques da Silva (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obling (19'), Amo-Ameyaw (52'), Mara (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Southampton and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-7 Southampton
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bordeaux 3-2 Pau
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

We said: Southampton 3-1 Bordeaux

Disregarding the past achievements of both clubs, Southampton should be overwhelming favourites for victory on Wednesday, when Martin is likely to start with a near first-choice XI. Bordeaux are further behind the Saints in their respective summer schedule, and we are expecting a defeat for Les Girondins as they commence their pre-season itinerary. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
BordeauxDrawSouthampton
60.09% (0.384 0.38) 20.29% (-0.184 -0.18) 19.62% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.38% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.01% (0.574 0.57)36% (-0.572 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.91% (0.627 0.63)58.09% (-0.625 -0.63)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.286 0.29)11.69% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (0.604 0.6)36.78% (-0.603 -0.6)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.14399999999999 0.14)31.63% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (0.165 0.16)68.04% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bordeaux 60.09%
    Southampton 19.62%
    Draw 20.29%
BordeauxDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 60.09%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.7% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bordeaux

Southampton
88.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bordeaux
4.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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