Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 3-1 Stoke City
Stoke will be confident of causing an upset on the back of Southampton's defeat at Leicester. However, the Saints have performed far more consistently on home turf, leading us to predict a fairly-dominant victory for Martin's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Stoke City |
72.3% ( 0.14) | 15.9% ( -0.05) | 11.81% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
