Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Braga has a probability of 35.99% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Braga win is 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Porto |
35.99% ( 0.05) | 24.81% ( 0.1) | 39.2% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.15% ( -0.44) | 44.85% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% ( -0.42) | 67.21% ( 0.42) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( -0.18) | 24.45% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( -0.25) | 58.88% ( 0.25) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0.27) | 22.76% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% ( -0.39) | 56.44% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 35.99% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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