Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Haiti |
| 59.5% | 22.39% | 18.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% | 47.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% | 70.04% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% | 15.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.22% | 44.78% |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.78% | 40.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.14% | 76.86% |
| Score Analysis |
USA 59.49%
Haiti 18.11%
Draw 22.39%
| USA | Draw | Haiti |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.49% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.11% |
How you voted: USA vs Haiti
USA
81.0%Draw
11.9%Haiti
7.1%42
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2015 1.30am
