Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.
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