We said: Kosovo 1-1 Armenia
Neither side have named a fully-strength squad by any means, so there are likely to be plenty of nerves on display, especially from the inexperienced players.
As such, we would not be surprised to see both sides settle for a draw should the match be heading that way, especially with little riding on the game beyond pride.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 50.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Armenia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.