MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:04:39| >> :60:762:762:
Cambodia national football team
Friendlies 3
Jun 7, 2024 at 12pm UK
Phnom Penh National Olympic Stadium
Mongolia national football team

Cambodia
2 - 0
Mongolia

Ogawa (22'), Sa (30')
Orn (53'), Choum (78'), Ogawa (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Erdenebat (13'), Amgalanbat (62'), Dulguun (64'), Gantuya (86'), Ariunbold (90+1')
Amgalanbat (72'), Amgalanbat (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Cambodia and Mongolia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guyana 4-1 Cambodia
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 3-0 Mongolia
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Cambodia 1-0 Mongolia

The Mongols are experiencing a scoring crisis at the moment and seem to be lacking their share of creativity and attacking prowess regardless of who they face. Cambodia have not fared much better, but we project a narrow victory for them, given they will be at home, where they look more at ease at the back and in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 82.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 4.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.57%) and 1-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambodia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambodia.

Result
CambodiaDrawMongolia
82.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 12.37% (0.029000000000002 0.03) 4.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 34.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)40.91% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Cambodia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)7.48% (0.0201 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.12% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)26.88% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Mongolia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)62.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.14% (0.020100000000001 0.02)91.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambodia 82.88%
    Mongolia 4.73%
    Draw 12.37%
CambodiaDrawMongolia
2-0 @ 15.7%
3-0 @ 13.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 4.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 82.88%
1-1 @ 5.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.74% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.37%
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 4.73%

How you voted: Cambodia vs Mongolia

Cambodia
60.7%
Draw
32.1%
Mongolia
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2019 11.30am
International Friendlies
Cambodia
1-1
Mongolia
Keo (33' pen.)
Artag (21')
rhs 2.0
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