MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 09:11:58| >> :120:4309:4309:
Georgia national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 25, 2023 at 2pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Mongolia national football team

Georgia
6 - 1
Mongolia

Volkovi (15'), Chakvetadze (56', 58'), Lobzhanidze (70'), Beridze (88'), Zivzivadze (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baljinnyam (31')
Dulguun (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Georgia and Mongolia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Georgia
Thursday, November 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bangladesh 0-0 Mongolia
Tuesday, March 29 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Georgia 3-0 Mongolia

While Willy Sagnol may want to run the rule over some fresh faces, his primary focus this weekend is to ready Georgia for their clash with Norway. Therefore, the European side should secure an expected victory, but perhaps without racking up a hatful of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.16%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawMongolia
71.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 9.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 37.55% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)52.03% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)73.76% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)13.19% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.09% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)39.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Mongolia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.1% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)88.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 71.85%
    Mongolia 9.26%
    Draw 18.88%
GeorgiaDrawMongolia
2-0 @ 15.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.85%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.88%
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 9.26%

How you voted: Georgia vs Mongolia

Georgia
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
Mongolia
5.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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