MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 20:42:10| >> :60:501:501:
Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 12, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
Cuba national football team

Chile
3 - 0
Cuba

Nunez (13', 69'), Echeverria (27')
Davila (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perez (19'), Palma (26'), Penalver (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Chile and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Cuba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Chile 3-0 Cuba

 Cuba have come a long way over the past year but have not faced any formidable opponents or teams as experienced with the ability to score like Chile, and this could be one of those games where once the Chileans find the mark, the floodgates could open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Chile in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chile.

Result
ChileDrawCuba
47.9% (-2.005 -2.01) 26.53% (0.452 0.45) 25.57% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 47.87% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.85% (-0.524 -0.52)56.15% (0.525 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (-0.424 -0.42)77.21% (0.42699999999999 0.43)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-1.128 -1.13)23.47% (1.13 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-1.662 -1.66)57.49% (1.664 1.66)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (1.107 1.11)37.45% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (1.07 1.07)74.23% (-1.066 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Chile 47.9%
    Cuba 25.57%
    Draw 26.52%
ChileDrawCuba
1-0 @ 12.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.441 -0.44)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.372 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.423 0.42)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.28 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.327 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.149 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Chile vs Cuba

Chile
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Cuba
36.4%
11
rhs 2.0
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