MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:48:14| >> :60:196:196:
Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Paraguay national football team

Chile
3 - 2
Paraguay

Diaz (25'), Sanchez (76'), Silva (90+2' og.)
Nunez (70')
Diaz (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rojas (32'), Avalos (34')
Avalos (8'), Rojas (27'), Silva (59'), Gomez (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Chile
Sunday, November 20 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Paraguay

All competitions
Last Game: Colombia 2-0 Paraguay
Sunday, November 20 at 1.20am in International Friendlies

We said: Chile 1-0 Paraguay

 La Rojas may not be the dominant South American team we saw a few years ago, but there are still some quality individuals who have proven to be difference-makers, and we believe the likes of Sanchez and Vidal will be able to outclass La Albirroja who are far less experienced. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
55.93% (0.298 0.3) 25.38% (-0.154 -0.15) 18.68% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 42.94% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.348 0.35)58.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.272 0.27)78.95% (-0.27300000000001 -0.27)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.261 0.26)20.91% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.409 0.41)53.64% (-0.409 -0.41)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.3% (0.035999999999994 0.04)45.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51% (0.026 0.03)81.49% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chile 55.93%
    Paraguay 18.69%
    Draw 25.38%
ChileDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 14.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.69%

How you voted: Chile vs Paraguay

Chile
64.7%
Draw
11.8%
Paraguay
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 11pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Paraguay
0-1
Chile

Morel (33'), Almiron (73')
Silva (56' og.)
Roco (27'), Brereton Diaz (43'), Bravo (90+4')
Oct 11, 2021 1am
CONMEBOL Standings
Chile
2-0
Paraguay
Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')
Aranguiz (74')

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')
Jun 25, 2021 1am
Group A
Chile
0-2
Paraguay

Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
South American Qualifiers
Chile
0-3
Paraguay

Aranguiz (74'), Jara (77'), Beausejour (83'), Vidal (95')
Vidal (24' og.), Caceres (55'), Ortiz (92')
Bareiro (71')
rhs 2.0
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