We said: Chile 1-0 Paraguay
La Rojas may not be the dominant South American team we saw a few years ago, but there are still some quality individuals who have proven to be difference-makers, and we believe the likes of Sanchez and Vidal will be able to outclass La Albirroja who are far less experienced.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.