We said: Chile 0-2 Uruguay
While Chile certainly need three points to even stand a chance of climbing to fifth, we see it as a step too far and expect them to be outclassed by Uruguay.
The two sides both rely on ageing cores, but the visitors have more young talent coming through their ranks and will be full of confidence on the back of three straight wins under their new manager.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uruguay in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.