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Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Uruguay national football team

Chile
0 - 2
Uruguay


Kuscevic (36'), Medel (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Suarez (79'), Valverde (90')
Bentancur (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: South Korea 2-0 Chile
Monday, June 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Uruguay vs. Panama
Saturday, June 11 at 9pm in International Friendlies

We said: Chile 0-2 Uruguay

While Chile certainly need three points to even stand a chance of climbing to fifth, we see it as a step too far and expect them to be outclassed by Uruguay. The two sides both rely on ageing cores, but the visitors have more young talent coming through their ranks and will be full of confidence on the back of three straight wins under their new manager. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Chile win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Uruguay in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.

Result
ChileDrawUruguay
32.19%22.95%44.86%
Both teams to score 64.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89%59.11%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14%22.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4%56.6%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99%47.01%
Score Analysis
    Chile 32.19%
    Uruguay 44.86%
    Draw 22.95%
ChileDrawUruguay
2-1 @ 7.49%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-1 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 6.1%
1-3 @ 5.33%
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.37%
2-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 44.86%

How you voted: Chile vs Uruguay

Chile
29.5%
Draw
15.8%
Uruguay
54.7%
95
Head to Head
Jun 21, 2021 10pm
Group A
Uruguay
1-1
Chile
Vidal (66' og.)
Valverde (13')
Vargas (26')
Sierralta (19')
Oct 8, 2020 11.45pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Uruguay
2-1
Chile
Suarez (39' pen.), Gomez (90+3')
Coates (55'), Bentancur (59'), Gomez (90+6')
Sanchez (54')
Sierralta (75'), Baeza (90+1')
Jun 25, 2019 12am
Group C
Chile
0-1
Uruguay
Cavani (82')
Gonzalez (70')
Jun 25, 2015 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
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