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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Bulgaria national football team

Gibraltar
1 - 1
Bulgaria

Walker (61' pen.)
Walker (8'), Torilla (68'), Coleing (85'), Annesley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minchev (45+1')
Kraev (60'), Hristov (88'), Jordanov (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Gibraltar and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Bulgaria

Last Six:
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Bulgaria
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Gibraltar 0-2 Bulgaria

 All things considered, goals and points are going to be in short supply for Gibraltar this campaign, and we expect that to continue on Thursday. Bulgaria are hardly in good form themselves, but the former World Cup participants should have enough quality to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
GibraltarDrawBulgaria
33% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.44% (0.004999999999999 0) 39.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)56.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)77.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.34% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.012 -0.01)63.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 32.99%
    Bulgaria 39.56%
    Draw 27.43%
GibraltarDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.56%

How you voted: Gibraltar vs Bulgaria

Gibraltar
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
Bulgaria
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 5.30pm
Bulgaria
3-0
Gibraltar
Tsvetkov (6'), Yomov (15'), Iliev (45')

Annesley (73'), Casciaro (87')
rhs 2.0
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