Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Ecuador2 - 1Honduras
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Bolivia
Thursday, June 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Thursday, June 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
We said: Ecuador 3-1 Honduras
There is a considerable gap in quality between these two nations, as Ecuador are among South America's top teams and Honduras failed to even qualify for a guest spot at the Copa America. Though El Tri might decide to preserve some of their best players for the upcoming tournament, they should make light work of opponents that have only beaten minnows in 2024. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Honduras |
43.86% ( 0.1) | 26.33% ( 0.09) | 29.81% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
