MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:40:32| >> :60:42:42:
England national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Australia national football team

England
1 - 0
Australia

Watkins (57')
Colwill (34'), Gallagher (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baccus (34'), Strain (40'), Irvine (79')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins scores the only goal of the game as England record an unconvincing 1-0 friendly win over Australia at Wembley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between England and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Friday's international friendly with Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Scotland 1-3 England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Australia
Sunday, September 10 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Australia had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
EnglandDrawAustralia
77.13% (0.164 0.16) 14.57% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08) 8.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.76% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (0.097000000000001 0.1)35.91% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (0.105 0.1)58% (-0.103 -0.1)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.37% (0.058999999999997 0.06)7.63% (-0.056 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.75% (0.145 0.14)27.25% (-0.143 -0.14)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71% (-0.122 -0.12)48.29% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.56% (-0.087 -0.09)83.44% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    England 77.12%
    Australia 8.3%
    Draw 14.57%
EnglandDrawAustralia
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 6.73% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.08% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 77.12%
1-1 @ 6.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 14.57%
0-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 8.3%

How you voted: England vs Australia

England
89.6%
Draw
4.5%
Australia
6.0%
67
Head to Head
May 27, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
England
2-1
Australia
rhs 2.0
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