World Cup | Last 16
Dec 3, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
Argentina2 - 1Australia
The Match
Match Report
Argentina book their spot in the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Australia in Al Rayyan.
Team News
Argentina head coach Lionel Scaloni drops Angel di Maria from his starting lineup for their World Cup 2022 last-16 tie against Australia this evening.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Argentina and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Australia could line up for Saturday's World Cup last-16 clash with Argentina.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 0-2 Argentina
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
Wednesday, November 30 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Australia had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Australia |
| 63.76% | 21.86% | 14.37% |
| Both teams to score 44.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.74% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% | 15.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.23% | 44.77% |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.38% | 47.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.05% | 82.94% |
| Score Analysis |
Argentina 63.76%
Australia 14.37%
Draw 21.86%
| Argentina | Draw | Australia |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% 2-0 @ 12.81% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.91% Total : 63.76% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.55% 1-2 @ 3.81% 0-2 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.37% |
How you voted: TBC vs TBC
TBC
74.9%Draw
13.9%TBC
11.1%431
Form Guide
Build-up
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