MX23RW : Friday, May 17 06:02:27| >> :60:562:562:
Guatemala national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Cementos Progreso
Iceland national football team

Guatemala
0 - 1
Iceland


Carlos Martinez (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thorvaldsson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Guatemala and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

Iceland

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Iceland
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Guatemala 1-1 Iceland

 While Iceland will be keen to return to winning ways following back-to-back defeats, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Guatemala side that has seen their last two friendlies finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
GuatemalaDrawIceland
43.67% (-0.147 -0.15) 28.22% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 28.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.27% (-0.279 -0.28)60.72% (0.284 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21% (-0.21 -0.21)80.79% (0.215 0.22)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)27.64% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.272 -0.27)63.18% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.107 -0.11)37.84% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.104 -0.1)74.61% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 43.67%
    Iceland 28.1%
    Draw 28.22%
GuatemalaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 13.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.45% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.1%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Iceland

Guatemala
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Iceland
22.2%
9
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