MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:00:15| >> :600:3361289:3361289:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Luxembourg national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Iceland national football team

Luxembourg
3 - 1
Iceland

Chanot (9' pen.), Borges Sanches (70'), Sinani (89')
Mahmutovic (13'), Martins Pereira (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnar Haraldsson (88')
Magnusson (39'), Arnar Haraldsson (56'), Bergmann Johannesson (85')
Magnusson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Iceland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Iceland 0-1 Portugal
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Luxembourg 1-0 Iceland

 Barring their six-goal thumping at the hands of Portugal, Luxembourg have kept three clean sheets from their other three Euro 2024 qualifying matches so far and ought to feel optimistic about their chances of shutting out a depleted Iceland crop. Despite their recent knack for getting results on the road, Hareide's side may fall just short on Friday, as Luxembourg move onto a double-figure points total at the halfway mark. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawIceland
23.22% (-0.093 -0.09) 25.18% (-0.029 -0.03) 51.6% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)52.92% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (0.025000000000002 0.03)74.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)37.79% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)74.57% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.060999999999993 0.06)20.51% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (0.098999999999997 0.1)53% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 23.22%
    Iceland 51.6%
    Draw 25.17%
LuxembourgDrawIceland
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.22%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.73% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.14% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.6%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Iceland

Luxembourg
48.2%
Draw
24.1%
Iceland
27.7%
83
rhs 2.0
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