MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:11:45| >> :60:407:407:
Moldova national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Romania national football team

Moldova
0 - 5
Romania


Motpan (24')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morutan (9'), Dragus (40'), Cicaldau (60'), Paraschiv (71' pen.), Rus (88')
Olaru (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Moldova and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 1-2 Azerbaijan
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, November 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Moldova 1-3 Romania

Romania's vastly superior record in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than an away victory. While the visitors have been largely underwhelming on the road of late, we are tipping them to carry the day in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawRomania
30.8% (-6.562 -6.56) 25.37% (-1.457 -1.46) 43.83% (8.02 8.02)
Both teams to score 54.86% (3.406 3.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28% (4.971 4.97)48.72% (-4.972 -4.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17% (4.353 4.35)70.83% (-4.353 -4.35)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (-1.694 -1.69)29.5% (1.694 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (-2.118 -2.12)65.51% (2.119 2.12)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (6.543 6.54)22.19% (-6.543 -6.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (8.97 8.97)55.59% (-8.971 -8.97)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 30.8%
    Romania 43.83%
    Draw 25.37%
MoldovaDrawRomania
1-0 @ 7.99% (-2.23 -2.23)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.818 -0.82)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-1.667 -1.67)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.807 -0.81)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-1.444 -1.44)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.439 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.06% (1.104 1.1)
0-2 @ 7.42% (1.205 1.21)
1-3 @ 4.55% (1.24 1.24)
0-3 @ 3.72% (1.14 1.14)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.659 0.66)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.68 0.68)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.597 0.6)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.384 0.38)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43.83%

How you voted: Moldova vs Romania

Moldova
14.0%
Draw
18.0%
Romania
68.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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