MX23RW : Saturday, November 16 06:08:38| >> :120:24573:24573:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Latvia national football team
Nations League | League D
Sep 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Moldova national football team

Latvia
1 - 2
Moldova

Ikaunieks (55')
Ikaunieks (22')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Revenco (26'), Nicolaescu (45')
Posmac (60'), Cociuc (87'), Revenco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Latvia and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-2 Latvia
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Moldova

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Moldova 2-1 Andorra
Tuesday, June 14 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Latvia 2-1 Moldova

 Latvia and Moldova each have decent strikers to build around in the shape of Vladislavs Gutkovskis and Ion Nicolaescu respectively, so we can envisage a few goals in Riga on Thursday. However, the hosts head into this match in much better form, while also possessing the advantage of being able to settle for a draw, so we can see them picking their opponents off at some stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
LatviaDrawMoldova
44.37% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 30.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)69.77% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)21.45% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)54.47% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)65.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Latvia 44.38%
    Moldova 30.54%
    Draw 25.08%
LatviaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.54%

How you voted: Latvia vs Moldova

Latvia
84.7%
Draw
10.8%
Moldova
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 5pm
League D1
Moldova
2-4
Latvia
Nicolaescu (5' pen.), Motpan (64')
Bolohan (45+3')
Gutkovskis (19', 60'), Ikaunieks (26', 75')
Cernomordijs (21'), Cigaņiks (45')
rhs 2.0
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