Friendlies 3
Oct 8, 2023 at 7am UK
Stade Numa Daly
New Caledonia4 - 0Vanuatu
L. Bako (37'), Read (45'), Waia (57', 86')
Iwa (56')
Iwa (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between New Caledonia and Vanuatu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tahiti 2-1 New Caledonia
Friday, March 24 at 6am in International Friendlies
Friday, March 24 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-0 Vanuatu
Thursday, March 23 at 5am in International Friendlies
Thursday, March 23 at 5am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Caledonia win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Caledonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Caledonia | Draw | Vanuatu |
45.47% ( -0.97) | 23.4% ( -0.06) | 31.12% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
