International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 6.45pm UK

Estádio Nacional

Portugal
4 - 0
Nigeria

Fernandes (9', 35' pen.), Ramos (82'), Mario (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Portugal and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line in Wednesday's international friendly with Nigeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 9-1 Armenia
Sunday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Nigeria
Tuesday, December 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Tanzania
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Nigeria
63.31% ( 0.2)	21.12% ( -0)	15.58% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23% (

-0.37)

46.76% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

-0.35)

69.02% (

0.34)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.87% (

-0.06)

14.12% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.23% (

-0.11)

41.76% (

0.11)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27% (

-0.49)

42.73% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

-0.42)

79.06% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Portugal 63.3%

Nigeria 15.58%

Draw 21.11%

Portugal	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 63.3%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.11%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.58%