Nations League | League A
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Portugal0 - 1Spain
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Portugal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Czech Republic 0-4 Portugal
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Spain | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 5 | -7 | 4 |
Last Game: Spain 1-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Spain | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 5 | -7 | 4 |
We said: Portugal 2-1 Spain
Spain's frontline did not cut the mustard against Switzerland, but Enrique's side always seem to have a knack for scoring goals, and they will be forced to go all out on that front if they are to stand a chance of progressing. Such an approach will of course leave La Roja vulnerable to Portugal's pace on the counter, and the Selecao can take advantage to snatch victory and seal their place in the Nations League Finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Spain |
41.81% ( -0.02) | 24.52% ( -0.23) | 33.66% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( 1.11) | 43.93% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( 1.08) | 66.32% ( -1.08) |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.46) | 21.09% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.07% ( 0.72) | 53.92% ( -0.73) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.67) | 25.34% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.86% ( 0.92) | 60.13% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 41.81%
Spain 33.66%
Draw 24.51%
| Portugal | Draw | Spain |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.66% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Spain
Portugal
73.4%Draw
12.2%Spain
14.4%597
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2021 6.30pm
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Jun 5, 2020 6.30pm
Jun 15, 2018 7pm
Group B
Portugal
3-3
Spain
Form Guide
Build-up
How Spain could line up against Portugal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Portugal.
3 years ago
How Portugal could line up against Spain
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Spain.
3 years ago
