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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Reysol

Chiba (57')
Takagi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kinoshita (15')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
37.5%28.36% (0.128 0.13) 34.14% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-0.473 -0.47)59.64% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.364 -0.36)79.96% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.236 -0.24)30.62% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.281 -0.28)66.87% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.33 -0.33)32.78% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.369 -0.37)69.34% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 37.5%
    Kashiwa Reysol 34.13%
    Draw 28.35%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.5%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.19% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2023 11am
Gameweek 18
Reysol
0-0
Albirex Niigata
Toshima (24'), Mitsumaru (51')
Watanabe (30'), Fujiwara (49')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 6am
Gameweek 12
Albirex Niigata
0-0
Reysol
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
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