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J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 2
Kawasaki

Germain (20'), Yamada (90+2')
Suzuki (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tono (51'), Tachibanada (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kawasaki Frontale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale

Jubilo Iwata claimed a dramatic 5-4 victory when the two sides last met in March, and while we do not expect another nine-goal thriller, we think that Saturday's hosts could complete a double over a Kawasaki side that has lost three of their last four away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawKawasaki Frontale
35.06% (-0.111 -0.11) 25.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 39.88% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (0.159 0.16)46.11% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (0.151 0.15)68.41% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.146 0.15)22.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (0.214 0.21)56.76% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 35.06%
    Kawasaki Frontale 39.88%
    Draw 25.06%
Jubilo IwataDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.88%

How you voted: Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki

Jubilo Iwata
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Kawasaki Frontale
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 10am
Gameweek 2
Kawasaki
4-5
Jubilo Iwata
Erison (36', 55'), Marcinho (59'), Yamada (85' pen.)
Tachibanada (36'), Jung (79'), Segawa (90+6')
Uemura (6'), Germain (18', 29', 80', 90+7')
Graca (48'), Fujikawa (90+12')
Jun 25, 2022 11am
Gameweek 18
Kawasaki
1-1
Jubilo Iwata
Yamane (33')
Kurumaya (66'), Ienaga (90+4')
Ito (85')
Kanuma (25'), Graca (60')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Jubilo Iwata
1-1
Kawasaki
Omori (78')
Ito (37'), Germain (76')
Chinen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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