Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.