MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:10:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Reysol

Soma (55'), Yamagishi (57')
Soma (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Savio (7')
Shirai (68'), Shirai (71'), Sekine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League

We said: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol

Nagoya Grampus have been tumbling in the league standings in recent weeks but will see this as a genuine opportunity to snap out of their funk. However, the visitors are in a good bit of form right now and will also feel that they can take something from this match given their opponents' recent performances. There is very little to separate these sides in the league standings at present and we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the full-time whistle in this match as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
30.63% (-0.674 -0.67) 27.9% (0.153 0.15) 41.47% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.739 -0.74)58.7% (0.741 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-0.577 -0.58)79.23% (0.58 0.58)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.883 -0.88)34.77% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.945 -0.95)71.5% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)27.86% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)63.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 30.62%
    Kashiwa Reysol 41.47%
    Draw 27.89%
Nagoya GrampusDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.192 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.47%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Reysol

Nagoya Grampus
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-2
Nagoya Grampus

Shimamura (83')
Nagai (18'), Chang-Rae (62')
Ha (29'), Chang-Rae (29'), Kubo (37'), Mikuni (45+2')
Dec 3, 2023 5.45am
Gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Junker (90+5' pen.)
Savio (71')
Savio (78')
Diego (90+3')
Mar 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 4
Reysol
0-3
Nagoya Grampus
Junker (41'), Nagai (52'), Tatsuta (70' og.)
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Reysol
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Ominami (57')
Mateus (4')
Fujii (67'), Ishida (84'), Soma (90+5')
Mar 20, 2022 5am
Gameweek 5
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Reysol
Mateus (18')
Tiago (27'), Morishita (55')
Hosoya (6')
Moreira (31'), Savio (79'), Toshima (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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