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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 2
Reysol

Misao (36'), Kawasaki (47')
Hara (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (42'), Savio (90+6')
Sekine (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, June 22 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol

Wednesday's game promises to be a hard-fought one between two sides keen to arrest poor runs of form in the J1 League. While the visitors have enjoyed the stronger season thus far, their confidence has taken a hit from four straight defeats, and we envisage both sides settling for a share of the spoils in Kyoto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawKashiwa Reysol
38.85% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 27.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 33.63% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.41% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)56.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.44% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)77.57% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)28.33% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)64.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.96% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 38.85%
    Kashiwa Reysol 33.63%
    Draw 27.51%
Kyoto SangaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Reysol

Kyoto Sanga
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
Kashiwa Reysol
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 5am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Savio (77')
Shirai (23'), Kinoshita (69'), Takamine (85')
Anzai (90+4')
Aug 6, 2023 11am
Gameweek 22
Kyoto Sanga
0-1
Reysol

Hirato (39'), Misao (89')
Hosoya (29')
Tsuchiya (60'), Savio (90+7')
Apr 29, 2023 7am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Savio (47')
Toyokawa (8')
Aug 6, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Kyoto Sanga
1-2
Reysol
Takeda (7')
Honda (25' og.), Muto (90+8')
Kamijima (49'), Shiihashi (67')
Apr 17, 2022 11am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
0-2
Kyoto Sanga

Nakamura (43')
Ogiwara (13'), Utaka (48')
Kawasaki (23'), Ogiwara (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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