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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Ryan (58', 60'), Naganuma (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fukuoka (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, June 16 at 7.30am in J1 League

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Consadole
Saturday, June 15 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Kyoto Sanga

 Considering the hosts have lost their last three league fixtures, it is feasible that they could struggle once again on Saturday. Additionally, Kyoto Sanga have fared considerably better on the road than at home, so expect them to cause Sagan Tosu problems in what could be a tense clash at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKyoto Sanga
42.44% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1) 25.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 32.37% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.11 -0.11)47.32% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.102 -0.1)69.54% (0.101 0.1)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)22.24% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.143 -0.14)55.68% (0.142 0.14)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.77% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.35% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 42.44%
    Kyoto Sanga 32.37%
    Draw 25.18%
Sagan TosuDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.37%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Sagan Tosu
3-2
Kyoto Sanga
Ono (9'), Harada (90+9'), Seok-Ho (90+11')
Naganuma (36'), Fujita (85')
Hara (32'), Toyokawa (60')
Appiah Tawiah (90+5')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Kyoto Sanga
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Oct 1, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Kyoto Sanga
Toyokawa (17')
Apr 10, 2022 8am
Gameweek 8
Kyoto Sanga
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Utaka (10', 70'), Kawasaki (14')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Ono (77' pen.)
Ono (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
> J1 League Full Table


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