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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Ryan (58', 60'), Naganuma (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fukuoka (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, June 16 at 7.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Consadole
Saturday, June 15 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Kyoto Sanga

Considering the hosts have lost their last three league fixtures, it is feasible that they could struggle once again on Saturday. Additionally, Kyoto Sanga have fared considerably better on the road than at home, so expect them to cause Sagan Tosu problems in what could be a tense clash at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKyoto Sanga
42.44% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1) 25.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 32.37% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.11 -0.11)47.32% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.102 -0.1)69.54% (0.101 0.1)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)22.24% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.143 -0.14)55.68% (0.142 0.14)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.77% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.35% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 42.44%
    Kyoto Sanga 32.37%
    Draw 25.18%
Sagan TosuDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.37%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Sagan Tosu
3-2
Kyoto Sanga
Ono (9'), Harada (90+9'), Seok-Ho (90+11')
Naganuma (36'), Fujita (85')
Hara (32'), Toyokawa (60')
Appiah Tawiah (90+5')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Oct 1, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Kyoto Sanga
Toyokawa (17')
Apr 10, 2022 8am
Gameweek 8
Kyoto Sanga
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Utaka (10', 70'), Kawasaki (14')
Matsuda (35'), Mendes (74'), Asada (87')
Ono (77' pen.)
Ono (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima341811566353165
3Machida Zelvia34179848291960
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo34149114944551
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo341212104142-148
9Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
10Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
11Avispa Fukuoka341014102933-444
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
14Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare34118154851-341
15Kyoto Sanga33118144153-1241
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol34912133646-1039
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3488183959-2032
20Sagan Tosu3475223965-2626


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