Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.