MX23RW : Friday, November 15 07:11:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Cerezo


Horigome (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (48'), Shibayama (64')
Ceara (80')
Shibayama (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, March 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
34.6%25.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.58% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.035000000000004 0.04)48.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.029999999999998 0.03)70.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)62.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.02000000000001 0.02)23.97% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.21% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 34.6%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.86%
    Draw 25.54%
Sagan TosuDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.86%

Head to Head
Jul 8, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Cerezo
Horigome (64'), Togashi (90+3')
Iwasaki (39'), Horigome (79')
Ceara (13')
Mar 12, 2023 5am
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Gameweek 11
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Gameweek 22
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers351610955401558
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
10Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
11Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
12Yokohama F MarinosYokohama35137155455-146
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
14Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
15Kyoto Sanga35129144354-1145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3598184260-1835
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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