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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
47.43% (-0.17 -0.17) 27.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.3% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.131 -0.13)59.56% (0.128 0.13)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.11 0.11)39.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.102 0.1)75.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.42%
    FC Tokyo 25.3%
    Draw 27.27%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7am
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
Apr 24, 2021 6am
FC Tokyo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Morishige (53')
Ogawa (5')
Sakai (18'), Higuchi (34')
Matsuoka (46')
Sep 27, 2020 8am
Sagan Tosu
3-0
FC Tokyo
Ishii (26'), Morishita (59'), Uchida (74')

Bangunagande (61'), Watanabe (68'), Oliveira (72')
Aug 1, 2020 11am
FC Tokyo
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Leandro (39'), Hara (86')
Leandro (33'), Oliveira (44'), Muroya (45+3')
Ishii (29'), Morishita (43'), Cho (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629
> J1 League Full Table


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