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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 26, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
5 - 0
FC Tokyo

Iwasaki (30'), Diego (48'), Honda (70'), Kakita (78', 85')
Diego (42'), Seok-Ho (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 3-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

Last Six:
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
47.43% (-0.17 -0.17) 27.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.3% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.44% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)24.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.131 -0.13)59.56% (0.128 0.13)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.11 0.11)39.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (0.102 0.1)75.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 47.42%
    FC Tokyo 25.3%
    Draw 27.27%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7am
FC Tokyo
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Slowik (51'), Yamashita (52'), Matsuki (70')
Horigome (81')
Harada (27'), Fukuta (28')
Aug 9, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
FC Tokyo
Sento (7')
Seok-Ho (59')

Oumari (31')
Apr 24, 2021 6am
FC Tokyo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Morishige (53')
Ogawa (5')
Sakai (18'), Higuchi (34')
Matsuoka (46')
Sep 27, 2020 8am
Sagan Tosu
3-0
FC Tokyo
Ishii (26'), Morishita (59'), Uchida (74')

Bangunagande (61'), Watanabe (68'), Oliveira (72')
Aug 1, 2020 11am
FC Tokyo
2-3
Sagan Tosu
Leandro (39'), Hara (86')
Leandro (33'), Oliveira (44'), Muroya (45+3')
Ishii (29'), Morishita (43'), Cho (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529
> J1 League Full Table


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