Jubilo Iwata

3 - 1

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.