Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.