Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
38.78% ( -0.07) | 27.14% ( 0.02) | 34.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.28% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.93% ( -0.08) | 55.07% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( -0.06) | 76.33% ( 0.06) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% ( -0.1) | 63.19% ( 0.1) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.5% ( -0.01) | 30.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% ( -0.01) | 66.72% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |